surf forecast puerto escondido: Essential Waves Guide
- lane2sea
- Nov 25
- 14 min read
Picture this: you wake up to the sound of the Pacific, the salty air drifting into your private oceanside villa. Just beyond your balcony, the legendary waves of Puerto Escondido are calling. This guide is for you—the surfer who dreams of chasing world-class barrels and then retreating to the comfort of Casa Escondido. We're going to pull back the curtain on the local surf forecast puerto escondido, giving you the confidence to know exactly when and where to find that perfect session.
Your Front-Row Seat at Casa Escondido

This isn't just about finding a place to stay; it's about creating the ultimate home base for your surf adventure. At Casa Escondido, you have a sanctuary where the thrill of the wave meets total relaxation. It's your personal observation deck for one of the most exciting surf destinations on the planet.
Think of this guide as your local decoder ring. We’ll take all that complex-looking forecast data and turn it into a simple, practical map for scoring the best waves. By the end, you'll be able to look at a chart and see a story—the story of what the ocean is planning for the day.
What You'll Learn to See
My goal here is to help you build a real intuition for the ocean's rhythm, not just feed you textbook definitions. You’ll get a feel for how to read the key ingredients that make Puerto's surf so special. We’ll break it all down.
You'll learn to interpret:
Swell and Period: The raw power and pulse of the waves making their long journey across the Pacific.
Wind Conditions: Why those offshore breezes are your best friend, creating those clean, glassy faces.
Getting a handle on these elements is what separates a lucky surf trip from a legendary one. It's the difference between hoping for good waves and knowing exactly where to find them.
Mastering the surf forecast puerto escondido means you can make the most of every single day of your stay. You'll spend less time guessing and more time getting unforgettable rides. Before we get into the details, you might also want to check out our guide to renting an oceanside villa in Puerto Escondido to round out your planning.
Decoding the Language of the Waves

A surf forecast can look like a secret code at first glance, but it’s really just the ocean telling you its story in numbers and arrows. From the comfort of your oceanside villa at Casa Escondido, you can learn to read this language and feel the rhythm of the waves before you even step onto the sand. It’s all about understanding the key ingredients.
Think of a forecast as a puzzle with three main pieces: the swell's height, its period, and its direction. Once you see how they fit together, you unlock the day's potential and gain a deeper connection to the ocean. Mastering these is your first step to truly understanding any surf forecast Puerto Escondido has to offer.
The Power of Swell Height
Swell height is the most obvious part of the forecast. It’s a simple measurement of the average size of the bigger waves in a swell, from the lowest point (the trough) to the highest point (the peak). A forecast showing 6 ft gives you a starting point, a sense of the raw energy travelling across the vast Pacific, aimed right at the shores outside Casa Escondido.
But height alone doesn’t paint the full picture. A 6 ft wave can feel vastly different depending on its power. The real magic, the thing that creates the world-class waves Puerto Escondido is famous for, comes from the swell's heartbeat: its period.
The Heartbeat of Swell Period
This is the secret ingredient. Swell period measures the time, in seconds, between two waves passing the same spot. It’s often overlooked by beginners, but it's the truest indicator of a swell’s power. A longer period means the swell has travelled a huge distance, organising itself into powerful, fast-moving lines of energy.
Let's imagine two different waves, both forecasted at 6 ft:
Wave A: Has an 8-second period. This is likely a local, wind-driven swell. It'll feel weaker, a bit jumbled, and less organised.
Wave B: Has a 15-second period. This is a true "groundswell," born from a storm thousands of miles away. This wave is packed with deep-ocean energy and will break with serious power and perfect form.
At Zicatela, a long-period swell is what turns a modest-looking forecast into the thundering, hollow barrels of the "Mexican Pipeline." It’s the kind of raw energy you can practically feel rumbling through the terrace of your villa.
The Origin Story of Swell Direction
Finally, swell direction tells you the wave’s origin story—the compass point it’s arriving from. This is absolutely crucial, as Puerto Escondido’s legendary surf breaks are incredibly sensitive to the angle of approach. For this coastline, a south or southwest swell is the magic ticket, lighting up spots like Zicatela and La Punta with perfectly peeling waves.
This part of the world is blessed with incredible consistency. During the peak season from April to October, historical data shows the average swell size can hover around 10 to 12 feet daily. In a month like October, you can expect good, surfable swells hitting the coast about 99% of the time. It’s this mind-blowing reliability that brings surfers from all corners of the globe to book their stay at Casa Escondido. You can dive deeper into these detailed Puerto Escondido surf statistics to see for yourself.
How Wind and Tides Carve the Perfect Wave
If swell is the raw power behind a wave, think of wind and tides as the master artists who shape it. Getting a feel for these two forces is the real secret to decoding the surf forecast Puerto Escondida has to offer. It's what separates a good session from a truly epic one, and from your perch at Casa Escondido, you've got a front-row seat to watch it all happen.
First, let's talk about wind. Picture the ocean's surface like a sheet of silk. The wind is what either smoothes it out or wrinkles it up. When you hear surfers buzzing about glassy conditions, they're talking about offshore winds. These are the golden ticket.
Offshore winds blow from the land toward the ocean, essentially standing the wave up and grooming its face. It's like a comb smoothing out any lumps and bumps, creating a clean, steep wall that’s perfect for riding—and the key to getting barrelled. This is exactly why those early mornings at Casa Escondido are so magical. The land is cool, the air is still, and a gentle offshore breeze often whispers across the water, setting the stage for a perfect day.
The Daily Rhythm of the Tides
Just as important is the tide—the ocean's slow, steady pulse. The gravitational pull of the moon and sun gives us two high tides and two low tides every day, and this constant change in water level completely transforms how waves break. The easiest way to think about it is that the tide sets the depth of the dance floor.
A rising or high tide pushes more water over the reefs and sandbars. This tends to soften the waves, making them a bit slower and more forgiving. It’s often the perfect recipe for a fun, mellow session at a spot like Carrizalillo.
On the other hand, a falling or low tide pulls water off the bottom, making things much shallower. This forces the swell to jack up suddenly, creating waves that are faster, steeper, and way more powerful. For a heavy beach break like Zicatela, a lower tide is often what lights the fuse, turning fun waves into those legendary, thundering barrels.
Learning the dance between wind and tide is like knowing the local's secret handshake. It’s what puts you in the right spot at the right time, paddling into a wave that feels like it was made just for you.
And here's why this place is so special: the data backs it up. Looking at over a decade of local weather, the wind here consistently blows offshore from the north-northeast, especially during the prime swell season from April to October. That reliable, favourable wind is the secret ingredient in Puerto Escondido's world-class surf recipe. You can geek out on the long-term patterns and discover detailed wind statistics on Windy.app.
Matching the Forecast to Local Surf Breaks
Alright, you’ve got the numbers, you understand the arrows, but here’s where the real art comes in: translating that forecast data into the perfect wave at the perfect spot. Every single break around Casa Escondido has its own soul, its own unique way of dancing with the ocean's energy. This is your field guide to connecting the dots from the surf forecast Puerto Escondido apps are showing you to the actual waves you’ll be carving up.
Think of it like being a conductor. The swell brings the raw power, the wind and tide add the nuance, and you get to choose the stage—the surf break—that will make the day’s performance unforgettable.
Playa Zicatela: The Mexican Pipeline
This is the main attraction, the world-famous beast of a beach break that puts Puerto on the global surf map. Zicatela is pure, unadulterated power, and it needs a very specific set of ingredients to cook up its legendary, board-snapping barrels.
It truly comes alive on a powerful south or southwest (SW) swell. But the secret ingredient is a long period, ideally over 14 seconds. This is what allows that deep ocean energy to jack up on the shallow sandbars and throw a massive, hollow lip. A lower tide often makes the wave steeper and even more hollow, but it also dials up the danger. Zicatela demands commitment and respect; it’s no place for hesitation. When the forecast aligns, witnessing it is one of the most incredible spectacles in surfing.
La Punta: The Peeling Point Break
At the southern end of the bay, you'll find a completely different world. La Punta is a dreamy left-hand point break that’s all about flow and finesse, not brute force. For this spot to work its magic, the swell direction is absolutely critical.
It craves a specific southwest (SW) swell angle that can wrap around the headland, turning raw ocean lines into those long, peeling walls that are perfect for stylish turns. If the swell is too southerly (S), it tends to pass by or just close out. A mid to high tide usually sweetens the deal here, making the wave a bit softer and the takeoff more forgiving. From Casa Escondido, it's the perfect spot to check when Zicatela is looking just a little too heavy.
Carrizalillo: The Sheltered Sanctuary
When the forecast is screaming with a massive swell that's lighting up—and closing out—most other spots, Carrizalillo becomes a gift. This stunning, protected cove acts like a natural filter. It takes that powerful ocean energy and transforms it into gentle, rolling waves that are perfect for longboarding, learning, or just having a super fun, relaxed session.
It works best on a big south swell that has enough punch to sneak into the bay's narrow opening. On days when the forecast numbers look intimidating everywhere else, Carrizalillo can offer up perfectly playful waves. It’s a beautiful reminder that a good surf forecast Puerto Escondido reading is all about finding the right spot for the right conditions.
Want a deeper dive into all the incredible beaches nearby? Check out our guide to the 7 unforgettable playas de Oaxaca, Puerto Escondido for 2025.
The simple diagram below perfectly illustrates the single most important factor for wave quality: wind.

As you can see, an offshore wind grooms the wave face, creating the clean, glassy conditions we all dream about. Onshore winds, on the other hand, create chop and crumble, making for a messy, less predictable ride.
On a typical day here, the sea breeze will generate waves between 1.25 to 2.5 metres (4 to 8 feet). But when that wind really picks up, those choppy days can push waves into the 2.5 to 4 metre (8 to 13 foot) range, offering a serious challenge for those who are up for it.
Your Quick-Reference Guide
To make it even easier, we've put together this quick-reference table. Think of it as your cheat sheet for choosing the right break during your stay at Casa Escondido, matching the day's forecast to your skill level and what you're hoping to ride.
| Puerto Escondido Surf Break Guide || :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- || Surf Break | Best Swell Direction | Ideal Tide | Ideal Wind | Best For || Playa Zicatela | South / Southwest (SW) | Low to Mid | Light Offshore (NE) | Advanced/Pro Surfers, Heavy Barrels || La Punta | Southwest (SW) | Mid to High | Light Offshore (NE) | Intermediates/Advanced, Long Lefts || Carrizalillo | South (on a large swell) | All Tides | Light Offshore (NE) | Beginners/Intermediates, Gentle Rollers || Playa Bacocho | South / Southwest (SW) | Mid Tide | Light Offshore (NE) | All Levels (on smaller days), Fun Beach Break |
Remember, local knowledge is everything. Conditions can change in a heartbeat, so use this guide as a starting point, keep your eyes on the ocean, and never hesitate to ask for advice. The perfect wave is out there waiting for you.
Planning Your Surf Adventure from Casa Escondido
Alright, so you’ve learned to read the ocean’s story. Now it’s time to use that knowledge to write your own epic surf adventure, with Casa Escondido as your base camp. This is where theory meets reality, turning a simple trip into a quest for the waves of your life. And it all begins with the rhythm of the seasons here in Puerto.
Puerto Escondido basically has two different surf personalities, depending on the time of year. The main event, our peak season, runs from April to October. This is when the legendary south swells come marching up the Pacific, delivering the power, consistency, and roaring barrels that put Zicatela on the map. If you've dreamt of charging or just witnessing truly world-class waves, this is your time.
Then there's the "off-season" from November to March, which has a completely different kind of magic. The huge, powerful swells take a breather, and in their place, you get smaller, super fun, playful waves. The crowds thin out, the vibe gets a little more mellow, and it’s an incredible time for anyone looking to just enjoy fun sessions without the raw intensity of the summer months.
Your Daily Forecast Ritual
Picture this: you wake up at Casa Escondido, grab a fresh coffee, and wander out onto your terrace to look at the ocean. This is the moment to start your daily forecast check. Having a few solid apps on your phone is the key to making the right call before you even wax up your board.
To get the full picture, I always recommend using a combination of a few tools:
Surfline: The go-to for its long-range swell models and expert analysis. They really nail the big-picture stuff.
Magicseaweed (MSW): Another heavyweight. It's great for cross-referencing swell data and diving into their detailed charts.
Windy: This one is absolutely essential for seeing what the wind is doing in real-time. The wind can make or break a spot, and Windy gives you that crucial, on-the-ground insight.
Checking multiple sources is like getting a second and third opinion from a few trusted old-timers. It gives you a more complete, nuanced view so you can confidently pick the right break for the day. This simple morning ritual will ensure you’re always in the right place at the right time.
Surfing Smarter and Safer
The same raw power that makes Puerto’s waves so incredible also demands a massive amount of respect. Safety has to be your number one priority, especially if you’re even thinking about paddling out at a heavy spot like Zicatela. Always be honest with yourself about your limits. Never, ever paddle out in conditions that are beyond your skill level.
One of the most vital skills you can have here is spotting rip currents. These are powerful, fast-moving channels of water pulling straight out to sea. Look for gaps in the breaking waves, unusually choppy or churning water, or even a different colour in the water. Knowing how to spot them and what to do if you get caught in one is non-negotiable.
This is all about surfing with your head, not just your heart. It’s about ensuring your adventure is filled with incredible rides and amazing memories, not preventable mistakes.
Once you've got a handle on the waves, the next step is locking in your travel. You can map out the best way to get down here with our guide on how to get to Puerto Escondido. Dialling in every detail, from your flight to your daily surf plan, is the secret to a truly unforgettable trip.
Your Ultimate Surf Escape is Waiting at Casa Escondido
The perfect wave is out there, and it has your name on it. Now you know how to read the ocean's secret language, turning the surf forecast Puerto Escondido offers into your own personal treasure map. A map where X marks the spot for liquid gold.
The thundering barrels of Zicatela, the elegant peeling lines of La Punta—they aren't just pictures in a magazine. They're real, and they're calling to you. It's time to stop dreaming and start doing. Our exclusive spot right on the ocean gives you a front-row seat to one of the most phenomenal surfing playgrounds on the planet.
Your Private Surf Sanctuary
Picture this: you wake up, coffee in hand, and wander onto your private terrace. You pull up the forecast, and with a quick glance, you know exactly where the magic is happening today, long before anyone else has even waxed their board. That's the reality waiting for you here.
Let Casa Escondido be your luxurious base camp for this adventure. It’s more than just a place to sleep; it’s the heart of your surf story, where epic days in the water blend into tranquil evenings by the pool.
Everything here is designed with one purpose: to help you find that perfect ride. From our unbelievably comfortable ocean-view suites to the quiet, seamless service that takes care of everything, your only job is to focus on the waves.
The surf trip you'll talk about for the rest of your life is just one click away. Contact us today to book your villa and let's start planning an escape you'll never forget. Your wave is waiting.
Got Questions? We’ve Got Answers
Stepping into the world of Puerto Escondido's surf is a huge part of the adventure. Getting a handle on the local forecast is your ticket to scoring the best waves of your trip. Here are a few questions we often hear from guests at Casa Escondido before they arrive.
When Is the Best Time of Year to Surf in Puerto Escondido?
If you’re dreaming of the powerful, picture-perfect barrels that made Zicatela famous, you’ll want to be here between April and October. This is our prime surf season, when massive south swells roll in consistently, lighting up the entire coastline with raw ocean energy.
For those looking for a more relaxed vibe or learning the ropes, the shoulder season from November to March can be magical. The swells are typically smaller and more manageable, the crowds thin out, and you can often find super fun waves perfect for a cruisy longboard session or simply honing your skills.
Which Surf Forecast Websites Can I Trust?
The best strategy is to become your own forecaster by comparing a few reliable sources. I always tell our guests to start their day at the villa by checking both Surfline and Magicseaweed (MSW). They both have excellent long-range models and detailed analysis that give you a great overview of what’s coming.
Then, before you grab your board, pull up Windy.app. It gives you a fantastic, real-time look at local wind conditions, which can be the difference between a perfect, glassy session and a choppy mess. Triangulating these three from the comfort of Casa Escondido gives you the sharpest possible picture of the day ahead.
"Surf forecasts are a guide, not a guarantee. The ocean always has the final say. That's why I always recommend checking multiple sites and then having a look for yourself."
Is Puerto Escondido a Good Place for Beginners to Learn?
Absolutely! While Zicatela’s thunderous reputation can be intimidating, Puerto Escondido is home to some incredible spots for surfers of all abilities. The beauty of staying at Casa Escondido is having easy access to a whole range of breaks, so you can always find a wave that suits your comfort level.
When a big swell hits, the magic happens in protected spots like Playa Carrizalillo. The bay’s unique shape acts as a natural filter, taming that raw ocean power into gentle, rolling lines. It’s the perfect playground for learning to stand up and build your confidence in the water.
Your ultimate surf adventure starts with the right home base. At Casa Escondida Beachfront Villa, you're not just booking a stay—you're getting a front-row seat to one of the most exciting surf destinations on the planet. Learn more and reserve your private villa to start planning your trip.

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